High resolution mean sea level pressure and ensemble spread
Base Time: Sat 05 Sep 2026 18 UTC T+96 Valid time: Wed 09 Sep 2026 18 UTC (T+96)
Ensemble forecasts explained
One 'ensemble forecast' consists of 51 separate forecasts made by the same computer model, all activated from the same starting time. The starting conditions for each member of the ensemble are slightly different, and physical parameter values used also differ slightly. The differences between these ensemble members tend to grow as the forecasts progress, that is as the forecast lead time increases.
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Forecast charts and data
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Workshops and education
Education is a key element of our work at ECMWF, enabling our partners to get the most from ECMWF's services and develop an advanced understanding of forecasting.
| September 15 – 17 | ESiWACE3 Data compression hackathon |
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| November 3 – 5 | 2026 Workshop on Machine Learning for Land and Hydrology |
| November 23 – 27 | Workshop on software strategies for sustainable physical modelling |
ECMWF workshops are open to the worldwide meteorological community, though some training is restricted to member states.